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Global Warming and Agriculture
Impact Estimates by Country
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- Book details for Global Warming and Agriculture
- William R. Cline (author)
- Paperback, 227 x 168 x 11mm , 250 pp, Illustrations, col. maps
- 15 Sep 2007
- The Peterson Institute for International Economics
- 0881324035
- 9780881324037
How will global warming affect developing countries, which rely heavily on agriculture as a source of economic growth? William Cline asserts that developing countries have more at risk, such as their production capacity, than industrial countries as global warming worsens. Using general circulation models, Cline boldly examines 2071-2100 to forecast the effects of global warming and its economic impact into the next decade. This detailed study: outlines existing studies on climate change; Cline finds the Stern Report for the UK government's estimates most reliable; estimates projected changes in temperature, precipitation, and agricultural capacity; and concludes with policy recommendations. Cline finds that agricultural production in developing countries may fall an average of 16 percent, and if global warming progresses at its current rate, India's agricultural capacity could fall as much as 40 percent. Thus, policymakers should address this phenomenon now before the world's developing countries are adversely and irreversibly affected. The author's previous work in this area, "The Economics of Global Warming", was selected by "Choice" for its 1993 "Outstanding Academic Books" list and was the winner of the Harold and Margaret Sprout prize for the best book on international environmental affairs, awarded by the International Studies Association.
William R. Cline is a senior fellow jointly at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and the Center for Global Development in Washington, DC. During 1996-2001 while on leave from the Institute, Dr. Cline was deputy managing director and chief economist of the Institute of International Finance. He was senior fellow at the Brookings Institution (1973-81), deputy director for Development and Trade Research at the US Treasury (1971-73), Ford Foundation visiting professor in Brazil (1970-71), and assistant professor at Princeton University (1967-70). He is the author of 21 books, including The United States as a Debtor Nation (2005), Trade Policy and Global Poverty (2004), Trade and Income Distribution (1997), Predicting External Imbalances for the United States and Japan (1995), International Debt Reexamined (1995), The Economics of Global Warming (1992), and The Future of World Trade in Textiles and Apparel (2nd ed., 1990).
